Topics/Offense

Exploit development

Building working exploits with AI assistance or autonomy.

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Agents find real bugsAgents in real operationsGated capability, incidents in the labAttackCapabilityDefensePolicyJan 25Jul 25Jan 26Jul 26
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2026

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Jul 2026
Jul 23, 2026
UK AISI and US CAISI jointly assess Kimi K3 cyber capability as trailing US frontier models
CapabilityEvaluation reportUK AI Security Institute, US Center for AI Standards and Innovation, Moonshot AI

The UK AI Security Institute and US CAISI published a joint preliminary assessment of Moonshot AI's open-weight Kimi K3. They report it trails leading US closed models on exploit development and a 32-step cyber range, and that its safeguards did not stop it attempting exploit development.

May 2026
May 13, 2026
ExploitBench grades AI exploit development as a 16-step capability ladder on V8 bugs
CapabilityBenchmarkCarnegie Mellon University, Bugcrowd

Carnegie Mellon researchers released ExploitBench, which scores exploitation progress on 41 V8 JavaScript-engine vulnerabilities across 16 flags from reaching the bug through arbitrary read/write, control-flow hijack and code execution. The paper reports that public models routinely reach and crash vulnerable code but rarely achieve arbitrary code execution, while one private frontier model succeeded on roughly half of cases.

May 11, 2026
ExploitGym benchmark measures whether AI agents can turn real vulnerabilities into working exploits
CapabilityBenchmarkUC Berkeley, Anthropic, OpenAI

Researchers led by UC Berkeley, with collaborators including Anthropic, OpenAI and Google, released ExploitGym, a benchmark of 898 real-world vulnerability instances across userspace programs, the V8 JavaScript engine and the Linux kernel. Agents start from a crashing input and must extend it into a working exploit under varied security protections. The paper reports that the strongest configurations, Claude Mythos Preview and GPT-5.5, produced working exploits for 157 and 120 instances respectively.

May 11, 2026
Google Threat Intelligence reports the first criminal zero-day exploit it believes was AI-developed, disrupted before planned mass use
AttackMisuse reportGoogle Threat Intelligence Group, UNC6780 (TeamPCP)

Google Threat Intelligence Group reported that cybercriminals planned a mass-exploitation campaign using a two-factor-authentication bypass in an open-source web administration tool, and assessed with high confidence that an AI model supported discovery and weaponization of the flaw. GTIG worked with the vendor on disclosure and disrupted the activity. The same report describes PRC-nexus actors using agentic frameworks such as Hexstrike and Strix for reconnaissance and vulnerability validation, and Android malware (PROMPTSPY) that calls Gemini to drive the device UI.

May 2025
May 7, 2025
UK NCSC judges AI-assisted vulnerability research is the most significant AI cyber development to 2027
PolicyGuidanceUK National Cyber Security Centre

The NCSC's second assessment judges that AI will almost certainly make elements of intrusion more effective through 2027, with AI-assisted vulnerability research and exploit development the most significant development. It warns that the window between disclosure and exploitation, already days, will shrink further, and judges fully automated end-to-end advanced attacks unlikely before 2027.

Apr 2025
Apr 15, 2025
OpenAI Preparedness Framework v2 sets High and Critical cybersecurity capability thresholds
PolicyFrameworkOpenAI

OpenAI's Preparedness Framework version 2 makes cybersecurity one of three Tracked Categories and defines High and Critical capability thresholds, each tied to required safeguards. High covers automating end-to-end operations against reasonably hardened targets or automating discovery and exploitation of operationally relevant vulnerabilities; Critical covers autonomous zero-day development across many hardened critical systems, and at Critical OpenAI commits to halt further development until adequate safeguards are specified.

Findings

Benchmarks and tools